000
WTPZ23 KNHC 130837
TCMEP3

HURRICANE CRISTINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032014
0900 UTC FRI JUN 13 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 109.1W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 140SE 140SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 109.1W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 108.7W

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.3N 110.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.0N 111.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.8N 112.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.2N 114.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 20.5N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 20.5N 118.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 109.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE