000
WTPZ23 KNHC 212036
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132011
2100 UTC MON NOV 21 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 110.6W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE  70SE  45SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE  60SE  90SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 110.6W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 110.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 13.1N 112.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.2N 114.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.5N 116.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  75SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.0N 117.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  75SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.1N 120.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 15.8N 124.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 16.0N 128.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 110.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN