000
WTPZ23 KNHC 081455
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032011
1500 UTC FRI JUL 08 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 107.6W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  70 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 107.6W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 107.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.6N 109.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.2N 111.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.7N 112.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.3N 114.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.5N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 20.0N 118.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 107.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/AVILA
 
 


000
WTPZ23 KNHC 081455
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032011
1500 UTC FRI JUL 08 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 107.6W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  70 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 107.6W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 107.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.6N 109.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.2N 111.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.7N 112.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.3N 114.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.5N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 20.0N 118.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 107.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/AVILA