000
WTPZ23 KNHC 200240
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032010
0300 UTC SUN JUN 20 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 111.3W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 111.3W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 110.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 17.2N 112.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.4N 114.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.5N 118.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.0N 122.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 16.5N 126.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 16.0N 130.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 111.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BEVEN