000
WTPZ23 KNHC 020833
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP182009
0900 UTC FRI OCT 02 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 117.5W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 117.5W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 117.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 23.0N 117.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 24.3N 117.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 25.3N 116.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 26.2N 115.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 27.5N 113.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 117.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BEVEN