000
WTPZ22 KNHC 130231
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072023
0300 UTC SUN AUG 13 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 114.0W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 114.0W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 113.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 15.3N 115.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.7N 116.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.0N 118.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.4N 120.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.9N 121.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.3N 123.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 17.7N 128.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 17.8N 134.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 114.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI