000
WTPZ22 KNHC 171442
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022022
1500 UTC FRI JUN 17 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 109.0W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 120SW 135NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 109.0W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 108.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.2N 110.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.6N 112.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.8N 113.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.9N 114.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.8N 115.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.7N 116.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 18.8N 118.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 19.0N 120.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 109.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI