000
WTPZ22 KNHC 140831
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022022
0900 UTC TUE JUN 14 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 102.4W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 102.4W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 102.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 13.9N 102.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.3N 102.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 14.6N 103.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.1N 104.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.5N 105.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 16.1N 107.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 17.4N 111.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 18.4N 113.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 102.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI