000
WTPZ22 KNHC 212050
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172020
2100 UTC MON SEP 21 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 113.6W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  60SE  75SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  60SE  75SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 113.6W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 112.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.3N 115.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  70SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.2N 117.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.8N 119.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 20.2N 121.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.5N 122.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.5N 124.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 20.5N 128.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 20.5N 131.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 113.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN