000
WTPZ22 KNHC 210254
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172020
0300 UTC MON SEP 21 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 109.3W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 109.3W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 108.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.7N 110.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.9N 112.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.9N 115.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.6N 117.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.0N 119.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.3N 120.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 20.4N 123.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 20.7N 126.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 109.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS