000 WTPZ22 KNHC 201439 TCMEP2 HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122020 1500 UTC THU AUG 20 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LOS BARRILES TO TODOS SANTOS HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LOS BARRILES TO CABO SAN LAZARO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LOS BARRILES TO LA PAZ A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS HAVE ALREADY BEEN OCCURRING ALONG THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SINCE LAST NIGHT...AND THESE CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 111.4W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 90SE 90SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 111.4W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 111.0W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 24.1N 112.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 25.3N 114.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 26.6N 115.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 27.8N 117.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 28.8N 119.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 29.7N 121.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 31.1N 122.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 111.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 20/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO