000 WTPZ22 KNHC 200231 TCMEP2 HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122020 0300 UTC THU AUG 20 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LOS BARRILES TO TODOS SANTOS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF TODOS SANTOS TO CABO SAN LAZARO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LOS BARRILES TO LA PAZ A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING ALONG THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 110.1W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 110.1W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 110.0W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 22.8N 110.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 23.6N 112.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 24.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 25.7N 115.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 26.8N 117.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 28.0N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 29.5N 121.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 31.1N 121.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 110.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 20/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART