000
WTPZ22 KNHC 180232
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122020
0300 UTC TUE AUG 18 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LOS BARRILES TO TODOS
SANTOS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 106.0W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 240SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 106.0W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 105.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.5N 107.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.9N 109.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 20.1N 110.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 21.2N 111.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 22.3N 112.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 23.3N 113.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 25.4N 117.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 27.9N 120.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 106.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 18/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART