000
WTPZ22 KNHC 182031
TCMEP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122016
2100 UTC THU AUG 18 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 110.1W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 110.1W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 109.8W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.5N 110.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.4N 111.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 20.1N 111.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.6N 111.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.2N 111.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 21.7N 112.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 23.5N 114.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 110.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS