000
WTPZ22 KNHC 271431
TCMEP2

HURRICANE SANDRA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222015
1500 UTC FRI NOV 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO SAN BLAS AND FOR LAS
ISLAS MARIAS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM TODOS SANTOS TO LOS BARRILES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALTATA TO SAN BLAS
* LAS ISLAS MARIAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 108.4W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 108.4W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 108.9W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 21.4N 107.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 23.5N 106.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 25.8N 105.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 108.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN