000
WTPZ22 KNHC 270834
TCMEP2

HURRICANE SANDRA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222015
0900 UTC FRI NOV 27 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM TODOS SANTOS TO LOS BARRILES

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF SINALOA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SANDRA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 109.3W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 109.3W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 109.5W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.5N 108.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 22.3N 108.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 24.2N 108.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 26.5N 107.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 109.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA