000
WTPZ22 KNHC 232030
TCMEP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222015
2100 UTC MON NOV 23 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 102.9W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 102.9W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 102.1W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 10.8N 105.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 11.4N 107.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 12.4N 109.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 13.2N 110.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 20.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 24.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 102.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG