000
WTPZ22 KNHC 300236
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172015
0300 UTC WED SEP 30 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO LAZARO CARDENAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUNTA SAN TELMO

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 101.2W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE  70SE  45SW  70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 101.2W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 101.2W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 16.4N 101.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.6N 102.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.7N 104.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.8N 105.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.0N 107.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 18.5N 109.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 101.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART