000 WTPZ22 KNHC 290236 TCMEP2 HURRICANE MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172015 0300 UTC TUE SEP 29 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAZARO CARDENAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ACAPULCO TO EAST OF TECPAN DE GALEANA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WEST OF LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUNTA SAN TELMO A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12-24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 102.0W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 102.0W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 102.1W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.8N 101.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.9N 101.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.2N 101.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.4N 102.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.6N 103.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 18.0N 106.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 102.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART