000
WTPZ22 KNHC 262031
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172015
2100 UTC SAT SEP 26 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 103.0W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 103.0W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 103.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 14.0N 103.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 14.7N 103.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.4N 102.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 15.9N 102.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 16.6N 101.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 17.1N 102.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 17.2N 102.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 103.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN