000
WTPZ22 KNHC 231434
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072015
1500 UTC THU JUL 23 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 114.9W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  50SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 114.9W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 114.5W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.1N 115.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  50SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 21.2N 117.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  50SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 22.0N 118.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 22.6N 120.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 22.8N 123.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 114.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS