000
WTPZ22 KNHC 050831
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
0900 UTC FRI JUN 05 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF BLANCA. A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCH WILL
LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR LATER
TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 106.2W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE 130SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 210SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 106.2W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 105.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.4N 107.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 130SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.9N 108.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.4N 109.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 20.0N 110.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 23.7N 111.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 26.5N 112.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 28.0N 113.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 106.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN