000
WTPZ22 KNHC 042037
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
2100 UTC THU JUN 04 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 105.3W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 170SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 210SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 105.3W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 105.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.7N 106.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.3N 107.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.7N 108.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.2N 109.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 24.0N 111.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 26.8N 113.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 105.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA