000
WTPZ22 KNHC 041439
TCMEP2

HURRICANE BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
1500 UTC THU JUN 04 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 105.1W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 210SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 105.1W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 104.9W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 13.2N 105.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 14.5N 107.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.5N 109.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 23.2N 111.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 26.0N 113.3W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 105.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA