000
WTPZ22 KNHC 040843
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
0900 UTC THU JUN 04 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 104.9W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 215 DEGREES AT   1 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 240SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 104.9W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 104.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 12.6N 105.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.9N 106.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.2N 107.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.7N 109.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.3N 110.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 22.5N 111.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 25.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 104.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN