000
WTPZ22 KNHC 011437
TCMEP2

TROPICAL STORM BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022015
1500 UTC MON JUN 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 104.1W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 104.1W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 104.1W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.8N 104.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.8N 104.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.6N 105.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 13.4N 105.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 13.4N 105.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 15.5N 107.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 18.5N 110.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 104.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN