000
WTPZ22 KNHC 271432
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE RAYMOND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172013
1500 UTC SUN OCT 27 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 116.0W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE  75SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 116.0W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 115.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 14.9N 116.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.0N 117.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.1N 117.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.9N 117.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.8N 116.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 19.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 20.0N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 116.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG