000
WTPZ22 KNHC 270839
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE RAYMOND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172013
0900 UTC SUN OCT 27 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 115.1W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 115.1W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 114.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 14.2N 116.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.0N 117.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.1N 117.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.0N 117.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.5N 117.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 18.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 18.0N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 115.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN