000
WTPZ22 KNHC 241447
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172013
1500 UTC THU OCT 24 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 105.9W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 105.9W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 105.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.7N 107.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 14.5N 109.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 14.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 13.6N 113.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 13.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 14.7N 120.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 16.0N 120.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 105.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE