000 WTPZ22 KNHC 240837 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172013 0900 UTC THU OCT 24 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 105.3W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 105.3W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 104.9W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.6N 106.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.4N 108.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 14.1N 110.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 13.7N 112.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 13.5N 117.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 13.5N 119.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 15.5N 120.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 105.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI