000
WTPZ22 KNHC 240235
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172013
0300 UTC THU OCT 24 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 104.6W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 104.6W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 104.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.5N 105.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.3N 107.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 14.0N 109.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 13.5N 111.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 13.0N 116.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 13.0N 118.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 14.5N 120.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 104.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA