000
WTPZ22 KNHC 230243
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE RAYMOND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172013
0300 UTC WED OCT 23 2013
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING
FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAZARO CARDENAS WITH A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING.  THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM ACAPULCO TO TECPAN
DE GALEANA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO LAZARO CARDENAS
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 101.8W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 101.8W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 101.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.9N 102.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.7N 103.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.5N 104.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.3N 106.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 14.9N 109.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 14.8N 113.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 16.0N 116.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 101.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN