000
WTPZ22 KNHC 050845
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122013
0900 UTC THU SEP 05 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 106.1W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 106.1W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 105.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.4N 107.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.7N 108.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 20.8N 109.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 21.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 22.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 22.0N 111.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 106.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN