000
WTPZ22 KNHC 310837
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM GIL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072013
0900 UTC WED JUL 31 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 118.9W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  30SE   0SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  15SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 118.9W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 118.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 13.8N 120.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  20SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 14.4N 123.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 14.8N 125.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.2N 127.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  50SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.7N 130.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 16.0N 133.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 16.0N 137.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 118.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG