000
WTPZ22 KNHC 161523
TCMEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP022010
1530 UTC WED JUN 16 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ WESTWARD TO LAGUNAS DE
CHACAHUA AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF LAGUNAS DE
CHACAHUA WESTWARD TO PUNTA MALDONADO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM WEST OF LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA TO PUNTA
MALDONADO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  95.6W AT 16/1530Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  95.6W AT 16/1530Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  95.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.8N  96.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.0N  97.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.2N  98.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.5N  99.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.9N 101.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 16.0N 103.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 16.5N 106.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N  95.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BROWN