000
WTPZ22 KNHC 231610
TCMEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP172008
1615 UTC THU OCT 23 2008
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 104.9W AT 23/1615Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 104.9W AT 23/1615Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 104.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.9N 104.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.0N 104.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.3N 105.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.2N 106.3W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.5N 109.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 17.5N 112.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 104.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/BEVEN