000 WTPZ22 KNHC 021539 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM KARINA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122008 1600 UTC TUE SEP 02 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 111.5W AT 02/1600Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 60SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 111.5W AT 02/1600Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 111.0W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.9N 112.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 60SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.3N 113.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 60SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.5N 114.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.5N 116.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 20.0N 117.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 111.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN