000
WTPZ22 KNHC 192044
TCMEP2
HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072008
2100 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 110.2W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 110.2W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 109.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.3N 111.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.4N 113.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.6N 117.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 22.5N 125.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 24.0N 129.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 110.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB