000
WTPZ22 KNHC 191442
TCMEP2
HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072008
1500 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 110.0W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 110.0W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 109.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.9N 111.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.9N 112.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.1N 114.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.3N 116.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 22.5N 126.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 24.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 110.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB