000
WTPZ22 KNHC 190238
TCMEP2
HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072008
0300 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008

...CORRECTED 120 HR INTENSITY...
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 109.0W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 140SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 109.0W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 108.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 14.8N 110.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.6N 111.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.7N 113.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.8N 114.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.7N 119.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 21.0N 123.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 22.5N 127.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 109.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/FRANKLIN