000
WTPZ22 KNHC 221432
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122007
1500 UTC SAT SEP 22 2007
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF IVO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 112.7W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  45SE  20SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 112.7W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 112.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.9N 112.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 22.4N 111.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 23.0N 111.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 23.5N 110.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 24.2N 109.8W...INLAND...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 25.0N 109.5W...OVER WATER REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 26.0N 109.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 112.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI