000
WTPZ22 KNHC 220831
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122007
0900 UTC SAT SEP 22 2007
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF IVO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 112.9W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 112.9W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 113.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.6N 112.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 22.3N 112.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 22.8N 111.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 23.3N 110.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 24.0N 110.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 24.5N 109.5W...OVER WATER REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 25.5N 109.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 112.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN