000
WTPZ22 KNHC 212035
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122007
2100 UTC FRI SEP 21 2007
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF IVO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 113.4W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 113.4W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 113.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 20.8N 113.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.6N 112.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 22.3N 112.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 23.0N 112.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 24.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 25.0N 111.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 26.0N 110.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 113.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI