000
WTPZ22 KNHC 201452
TCMEP2
HURRICANE IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122007
1500 UTC THU SEP 20 2007
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF IVO.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 112.8W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  30SE  10SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  65SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  65SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 112.8W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 112.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.8N 113.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.8N 113.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.8N 113.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 20.8N 112.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 22.5N 111.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 24.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 25.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 112.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN