000
WTPZ22 KNHC 200230
TCMEP2
HURRICANE IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122007
0300 UTC THU SEP 20 2007
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 112.4W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 112.4W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 112.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.9N 113.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.0N 113.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.0N 113.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 20.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 22.5N 111.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 24.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 112.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA