000
WTPZ22 KNHC 190225
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122007
0300 UTC WED SEP 19 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 109.3W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 109.3W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 108.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.2N 111.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.0N 112.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 17.0N 114.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 20.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 21.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 109.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA