000
WTPZ22 KNHC 182039
TCMEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122007
2100 UTC TUE SEP 18 2007
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 108.4W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 108.4W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 107.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 14.5N 110.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.4N 112.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.2N 113.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.1N 114.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 20.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 21.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 108.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN