000
WTPZ22 KNHC 181647
TCMEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122007
1700 UTC TUE SEP 18 2007
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 107.9W AT 18/1700Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 107.9W AT 18/1700Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 106.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 13.9N 109.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 14.7N 111.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.5N 112.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.4N 114.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 20.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 21.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 107.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN