000
WTPZ22 KNHC 251434
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM DALILA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072007
1500 UTC WED JUL 25 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 111.9W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 120SE  90SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 111.9W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 111.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 20.6N 112.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  90SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 21.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE  75SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 22.3N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE  75SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 23.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.0N 120.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 24.5N 123.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 24.5N 125.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 111.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA