000
WTPZ22 KNHC 220839
TCMEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072007
0900 UTC SUN JUL 22 2007
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 106.0W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 106.0W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 105.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.2N 107.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.6N 108.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.8N 110.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.2N 111.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 17.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 20.0N 116.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 106.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI